A Structured System for Smarter Sports Analysis

Quantitative models. Transparent record. Risk-managed position recommendations — posted before tip-off, logged forever.

All-Time Units

+44.7u

All-Time Record

1044–899–37

All-Time Win Rate

52.7%

✓ 1044–899 all-time record  ·  52.7% all-time win rate on Rage Picks  ·  All picks timestamped before game time

NCAAB Today, 2:00 PM PST
FREE PICK

Trailblazers @ Golden Bears

⚡ 1.0U

Under

Total (O/U)  159.5

-119
ODDS
Market 54.3% Win probability
Rage Model 56.8% Rage Model 90.0%
Model Edge +2.5% vs the market

Our projection 144.2 · 15.3 under the line

Conviction Score 3.5 / 5
1.5 — Lean3 — Standard Play5 — Max Allocation

Why This Has Edge

  • Our model projects 144.2 total vs market's 158.5 — model favors the under.
  • California Golden Bears (adj_o=109.11) and Utah Tech Trailblazers (adj_o=96.37) both rank below elite offensive efficiency, limiting scoring output.

Free Picks ’26 173-161
Win Rate 50.6%
All Bets ’26 1044-899
Units +44.7u

Today’s Full Board Includes

  • 1 additional edge on today’s slate
  • Conviction scores & model win probabilities
  • Market movement tracking

Recent Wins

Date Game Pick Market Odds Margin Tier
2026-11-13 NCAAB · Arizona Wildcats @ Auburn Tigers Under 159.5 Total (O/U) -108 +10.5 B+
2026-11-13 NBA · New York Knicks @ Indiana Pacers Indiana Pacers +8.5 Spread -110 +10.5 B+
2026-11-13 NCAAB · Merrimack Warriors @ Florida Gators Merrimack Warriors +38.5 Spread -115 +9.5 B
2026-11-13 NCAAB · North Alabama Lions @ Miami Hurricanes Under 152.5 Total (O/U) -115 +6.5 B
2026-11-12 NHL · New York Islanders @ Los Angeles Kings Over 5.5 Total (O/U) -135 +1.5 B
2026-11-12 NFL · Washington Commanders @ New York Giants Washington Commanders +3.5 Spread -140 +6.5 B
2026-11-12 NBA · Dallas Mavericks @ Minnesota Timberwolves Minnesota Timberwolves -5.5 Spread -114 +33.5 B

⚙️ Not Picks. A System.

Most sports fans lose because they act on gut instinct. RagePicks runs quantitative models across lines, totals, and game winners — identifying statistically significant +EV opportunities before the market closes. Every recommendation is timestamped, every result recorded. No narrative, no deletes, no excuses.

FAQ

Is this free?

Yes — free picks every day (up to two on the homepage). Subscribe for the full slate.

Is there a free trial?

Yes. Founders Club includes a 3-day free trial, then $9.99/mo. Season includes a 7-day free trial, then $59.99 every 6 months (through April 2027).

What is +EV analysis?

+EV analysis (positive expected value) describes when a model’s estimated win probability exceeds what the posted odds imply. RagePicks models flag lines that may be mispriced relative to our inputs — not guaranteed winners. Past picks and models do not promise future results. Learn how our models work →

How does the quantitative model identify edges?

Our models analyze lines, totals, and game winners across major sports markets, incorporating historical trends, market movement tracking, and contextual game data to identify statistically significant +EV opportunities before the market closes. Dive deeper into our methodology →

Are losses ever deleted?

Never. Every result — wins, losses, and pushes — is permanently recorded. Full pick history is public on the history page and the performance dashboard for per sport filtering result margins.

What sports do you cover?

NBA, WNBA, NFL, NCAAB, NCAAF, NHL, MLB, UFC, BOXING, SOCCER (WP, MLS), and TENNIS (ATP, WTA)

What does R.A.G.E. stand for?

Risk-managed · Actionable · Graded Edge. See how the model works →