The RAGE ModelModel v2.0

Recursive  Algorithm  Generating  Edge

Every pick is scored across universal and sport-specific signals. Higher conviction = stronger edge vs the market.

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Universal Signals

Applied to every sport, every pick.

Line moves significantly in pick's favor
High Impact
Market signals concentrated on pick side
High Impact
Line moves in pick's favor
Medium Impact
Sharp split confirms pick (+0.20)
Medium Impact
Opponent on unfavorable travel schedule
Low Impact
Key starter confirmed out
Penalty · High
Significant line movement against pick
Penalty · High
Key starter listed questionable
Penalty · Med
Line movement against pick
Penalty · Med
Pick team on tough travel schedule
Penalty · Med

Conviction Scale

How we translate edge scores into position sizing.

—
< 1.5
No Play
—
B
1.5 – 2.9
Lean
0.5 unit
B+
3.0 – 3.9
Standard Play
1 unit
A
4.0 – 4.5
High Conviction
1.5 units
A+
4.6 – 5.0
Max Allocation
2 units

Sport-Specific Signals

Proprietary data feeds layered on top of universal signals.

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