The RAGE ModelModel v2.0

Risk-managed  ·  Actionable  ·  Graded  Edge

Every pick is scored across universal and sport-specific signals. Higher conviction = stronger edge vs the market.

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Universal Signals

Shared team-sport drivers (NBA, NFL, NHL, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF). Combat & tennis reuse sharp/line-move overlays with sport-specific weights.

Opponent key starter confirmed out (+1.0)
High Impact
Model vs market edge ≥8pp (+1.0)
High Impact
Line moves ≥1pt in pick’s favor with sharp confirmation (+0.5)
High Impact
Market / sharp money on pick side (+0.4)
Medium Impact
Opponent key starter questionable (+0.5)
Medium Impact
Large favorable line move without sharp (≥2pt, +0.35)
Medium Impact
Public-splits confirmation on pick (+0.20)
Medium Impact
Opponent on B2B / rest advantage (+0.3)
Medium Impact
Our key starter confirmed out (−1.2)
Penalty · High
Our key starter listed questionable (−0.5)
Penalty · Med
Model vs market edge ≤−3pp (−0.5)
Penalty · Med
Significant line movement against pick (−0.5)
Penalty · High

Sport-Specific Signals

Proprietary data feeds layered on top of universal signals. Impact badges map to live score deltas (High ≈ ≥0.5, Medium ≈ 0.2–0.4, Low ≈ ≤0.2).

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Conviction Scale

How we translate edge scores into position sizing.

—
< 1.5
No Play
—
B
1.5 – 2.9
Lean
0.5 unit
B+
3.0 – 3.9
Standard Play
1 unit
A
4.0 – 4.5
High Conviction
1.5 units
A+
4.6 – 5.0
Max Allocation
2 units